Take the AutoFinanceNews.net 2011 Car-Sales Crystal Ball Challenge

New-vehicle sales were back on a positive trajectory last year, after five years of decline. Granted, despite the 10.5% growth, vehicle volume was still lower than it’s been in nearly 20 years.

Sure, new-car sales shot up 31% from November to December 2010, and grew more than twice that amount — 64% — from January to yearend. Still, the SAAR came in at 11.5 million, a far cry from the 16-to-17 million averages of the early 2000s.

So where are we headed in 2011? Venture a guess in AutoFinanceNews.net’s Second Annual Car-Sales Crystal Ball Challenge. Be as specific as you’d like, and we’ll crown the winner come January 2012.

Congrats to Chad Brown, who won the 2010 Car-Sales Crystal Ball Challenge.

My prediction for 2011: 12,602,084.

Tags: 2011, new, saar, sales

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Comment by pradike on January 14, 2011 at 12:01pm: My prediction for 2011 is 12,990,000.

Comment by Chuck Smith on January 14, 2011 at 12:33pm: I predict 12,225,504 for 2011

Comment by Thomas Webb on January 14, 2011 at 1:18pm: I thnk 13,131,313 - but it won't be unlucky

Comment by Ricky Beggs on January 14, 2011 at 1:45pm: Marci, I think we will have a pretty good year even though consumer confidence is not busting at the seems. The real hold back is the consumer can get by with a solid value priced used car and is not ready to spend the higher do9llars for new. Let's go with 12,626,789, and as I said last year I hope I am low.